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Osasuna vs Levante Prediction - Monday, 24 August 2026

Competition: La Liga

Date: Monday, 24 August 2026

Kickoff Time: 01:30 (GMT+8)

Last Updated: 2026-08-24T16:13:54.132Z

AI Match Analysis Summary

SCORENEX AI predicts Osasuna Win (1) for this La Liga clash between Osasuna and Levante on Monday, 24 August 2026. Our ensemble machine learning model assigns a 52% probability to a home win, 26% to a draw, and 22% to an away victory. The expected goals model forecasts 1.6 xG for Osasuna and 0.9 xG for Levante, totaling 2.5 expected goals. Confidence level: Medium. Recommended Market: Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw). Analysis based on recent form, historical head-to-head data, team strength ratings, and real-time odds from major bookmakers.

SCORENEX AI Pre-Match Prediction

Predicted Match Result (1X2)

AI Prediction: Osasuna Win (1)

Confidence Level: Medium

Recommended Market: Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw)

1X2 Win Probabilities

Home Win (1) - Osasuna: 52%
Draw (X): 26%
Away Win (2) - Levante: 22%

Expected Goals (xG)

Osasuna: 1.60 xG

Levante: 0.94 xG

Total Expected Goals: 2.54

Model Last Updated: 2026-08-21T10:19:22.484Z

Pre-Match Betting Odds (Pinnacle)

1X2 Match Result Odds

Home Win (Osasuna): 1.88
Draw: 3.55
Away Win (Levante): 4.59

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5: 2.12
Under 2.5: 1.78

Asian Handicap 0

Osasuna (0): 1.37
Levante (+0): 3.36

Odds Last Updated: 2026-08-24T13:01:08.433Z

Betting Value Analysis

SCORENEX AI compares model probabilities against market odds to identify value bets. When our AI probability is higher than the implied probability from bookmaker odds, this indicates potential value.

Home Win Edge: AI 52% vs Market 53% implied

Away Win Edge: AI 22% vs Market 22% implied

AI Prematch Analysis — Pre-Lineup

Osasuna are favored at home, priced near 52% to win against Levante's 22%, a gap the model traces to the home side's expected-goal edge (1.60 vs 0.94) and Levante's rough start after an opening 3-0 loss. The most notable pricing signal sits in the Asian Handicap at 0, where one book's away price diverges from the model more than any other quote in the scan, though that single outlier sits against a broader picture of mostly negative edges across the market.

Osasuna enter this La Liga meeting as clear favorites, and the market's own goal-expectation split captures the shape of game the bookmakers anticipate: Osasuna dictating tempo at home, Levante needing to break through against a side expected to create the bulk of the chances. The gap between a home win and either a draw or an away result is sizeable, and it's worth noting Osasuna haven't actually played a league match yet this season, so the confidence isn't built on early-season form so much as on the underlying scoring model and a head-to-head record that leans their way, including a comfortable win the last time these two met at this ground. Levante's early signal is grim: an opening-day defeat without scoring leaves their away record at the same blank slate. But a single match this early in the season is a thin sample, and the model's scoring split doesn't assume Levante's attack collapses entirely — the projected both-teams-to-score probability still sits close to a coin flip, and the total-goals line stays anchored above two and a half rather than being pushed down to reflect a shutout expectation. On pricing, the standout quote is the Asian Handicap at 0 (level ball) on Levante, where one book's price implies a lower away-win chance than the model assigns — the largest gap between model and market found anywhere in this scan. That has to be read in context, though: across the 687 quotes examined spanning multiple markets and bookmakers, only a handful show any positive divergence at all, and the average sits clearly on the negative side, which is simply the bookmaker margin doing its job — a favorable price on one side of a line is generally offset by a worse one on the other side or at another book, so this isn't evidence of broad mispricing, just one or two quotes worth flagging rather than a slate of opportunities. Two caveats temper all of this. First, lineups haven't been announced for either side, so none of this accounts for who is actually available — a notable absence, particularly for a Levante side already short on attacking output, could shift the calculus meaningfully. Second, these prices were captured well over three days before kickoff, plenty of time for the handicap and total lines to move once team news and sharper market money come in, so the specific numbers quoted here should be treated as a starting point rather than the final word.

Home Win: 52.2%, Draw: 26.2%, Away Win: 21.6%

Expected Goals: 2.5 (Home xG: 1.60, Away xG: 0.94)

Most Likely Score: 1-1

Over 2.5: 46.7%, BTTS: 49.3%