Athletic Club vs Novorizontino Prediction - Monday, 24 August 2026
Competition: Brasileirão Série B
Date: Monday, 24 August 2026
Kickoff Time: 06:30 (GMT+8)
Last Updated: 2026-08-24T17:27:01.711Z
AI Match Analysis Summary
SCORENEX AI predicts Athletic Club Win (1) for this Brasileirão Série B clash between Athletic Club and Novorizontino on Monday, 24 August 2026. Our ensemble machine learning model assigns a 38% probability to a home win, 26% to a draw, and 36% to an away victory. The expected goals model forecasts 1.4 xG for Athletic Club and 1.4 xG for Novorizontino, totaling 2.8 expected goals. Value analysis shows a +7% edge on the home win, with AI probability (38%) exceeding market-implied probability (31%). Confidence level: Low. Recommended Market: Home Win (1) - 6.5% edge. Analysis based on recent form, historical head-to-head data, team strength ratings, and real-time odds from major bookmakers.
SCORENEX AI Pre-Match Prediction
Predicted Match Result (1X2)
AI Prediction: Athletic Club Win (1)
Confidence Level: Low
Recommended Market: Home Win (1) - 6.5% edge
1X2 Win Probabilities
- Home Win (1) - Athletic Club: 38%
- Draw (X): 26%
- Away Win (2) - Novorizontino: 36%
Expected Goals (xG)
Athletic Club: 1.43 xG
Novorizontino: 1.39 xG
Total Expected Goals: 2.82
Model Last Updated: 2026-08-22T04:59:16.689Z
Pre-Match Betting Odds (Bet365)
1X2 Match Result Odds
- Home Win (Athletic Club): 3.20
- Draw: 3.00
- Away Win (Novorizontino): 2.45
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
- Over 2.5: 2.50
- Under 2.5: 1.50
Asian Handicap 0
- Athletic Club (0): 2.05
- Novorizontino (+0): 1.75
Odds Last Updated: 2026-08-24T15:05:53.033Z
Betting Value Analysis
SCORENEX AI compares model probabilities against market odds to identify value bets. When our AI probability is higher than the implied probability from bookmaker odds, this indicates potential value.
Home Win Edge: AI 38% vs Market 31% implied
Away Win Edge: AI 36% vs Market 41% implied
